Pie Projections

Looking ahead, it seems Felix is in line to be at least a platoon centerfielder for the cubs in '08. A few projections are already available, with PECOTA and ZIPS due soon. I think they're optimistic, so far.

First off, Bill James
Based on 593 PAs, Bill predicts a pretty blah season at the plate (avg/obp/slg hr-rbi-r-sb)
283/333/456 16-62-82-23

Chone comes up with similar, but weaker, numbers (536 PA)
272/326/433 13-65-65-22

Marcel is even more pessimistic (594 PA, adjusted from 297)
256/320/402 12-70-80-16

Here are PECOTA numbers from last year - the 2008 is part of the 5-yr. forecast and will be updated based on 2007's actuals. (579 PA)
280/336/469 20-69-87-19

Just taking an average of these numbers gives us a decent idea of what Felix may be able to achieve as an everyday player.

576 PA
273/329/440 15-67-79-20

Nothing special, acceptable if he can bat low in the order. It may be crowded down there if Theriot and Cedeno continue to take ABs away from DeRosa. A platoon with Murton, with Fukudome spending some time in center, or Soriano for that matter, might actually work.