How did Zambrano survive the workload that doomed Kerry Wood and Mark Prior? We don't know. Maybe it's his body type..."Sudden" Sam McDowell is on his comparables list, and he was out of baseball by age 32. So were Don Drysdale and Ralph Branca.
Will sure knows his stuff, but, as the PECOTA cards aren't up yet, I have this abbreviated list of comps from the PECOTA Weighted Means spreadsheet
Mark Gubicza, Joey Jay, Jim Clancy, Stan Williams
Adding the three pitchers Will lists, here's the group of 8 - IP @ 26 (Z's seasonal age last year), career IP, seasonal age in last season pitched in MLB and ERA+ at each time. Click the headers to sort.
The high walk rates Carlos keeps putting up concerns me, and that depresses his innings pitched. Still, he looks OK to me.