Updated 3/20/2008 - corrected PFX chart label
Cole Hamels, one of the best young pitchers in the game, will try and give the Phillies a second straight win against the Cubs. Using over 800 pitches from July 2007 thru last week, I'm able to pick out three pitches in the PITCHf/x data. More than half of what he throws are fastballs, around 90mph, touching 95 on occasion (if you believe the data). 32% of his pitches are the change-up, which is a nasty pitch, and the rest curves.
There was a lot of noise from park-to-park, and Philly looks messed-up this year. I haven't looked at the Friday night game at this writing, but I will before Hamels takes the hill tomorrow against Ted Lilly.
| B | CS | SS | F | X | HR | |
| CH | 77 | 41 | 58 | 36 | 55 | 1 |
| CU | 49 | 28 | 14 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| FA | 131 | 88 | 29 | 109 | 79 | 3 |
| B | CS | SS | F | X | HR | |
| CH | 28.7% | 15.3% | 21.6% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 0.4% |
| CU | 38.6% | 22.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| FA | 29.8% | 20.0% | 6.6% | 24.8% | 18.0% | 0.7% |
| Swing Rate | Whiff Rate | B:CS | |
| CH | 56.0% | 38.7% | 1.9 |
| CU | 39.4% | 28.0% | 1.8 |
| FA | 50.1% | 13.2% | 1.5 |
Spin Movement chart:
ESPN's scouting report shows the same three pitches and Gameday 2008 agrees with the these pitch IDs, with one exception. Gameday gave an FC to less than 10 pitches in his 4/2/08 start, but that one game had to be adjusted a few inches. So, I'll see if there's more of those in 2008 (e.g. new pitch from '07) after/during tomorrow's game. Also, ESPN says he throws a slider to LHH 1% of the time, but, otherwise, they list the same three pitches. Fangraphs matches ESPN, too.
Should be a tough match-up for the Cubs tomorrow. Forecast indicates around 70°, windy with some rain showers possible.
0 comments:
Post a Comment