Friday, April 18, 2008

Lilly Wilting?

Maddog posted last night about a Lilly's disappearing curveball. He's right, Lilly is throwing an unusually small amount of curves.

Let's go back to July and see how many curveballs he's thrown in each start I have in my database.



Here's a plot of spin movement for Lilly's last 8 starts - 4 each from 2007 and 2008



I think there's a two-seam/four-seam split needing to be done.

It sure seems like Ted Lilly is throwing less curveballs, and it's probably not a fluke, either. One more week of this is really cause for question/concern - if it isn't already.


3 comments:

Maddog said...

I'm not seeing the charts, Harry.

Official Ted Lilly Fan Club said...

Any idea what was the average point in the count where TL would throw the Lilly Hammer last year?

In other words, if TL threw The Hammer in 1-1 or 1-2 situations, it's not too surprising that he's not breaking it out as much - certainly feels like he's getting into more 2-1, 2-0 counts... but, as always, we have no data to support that "feeling."

Harry Pavlidis said...

That's a good question. I'll check that out later tonight.