Just in time for first pitch, Jeff Francis and the Rockies visit Wrigley for a four-game set, starting tonight. The Rockies are injury depleted and in need of a good start. The Cubs have hit lefties well this year. Here's the PFX on Francis. He hasn't seemed to throw a slider this year, but it may be hiding in the cloud. I'm also not splitting a fastball by seams with this guy.
total LHH RHH
CH 167 26.8% 28.1%
CU 72 19.6% 10.3%
FA 360 53.6% 61.6%
599 112 487
Spin movement from catcher's perspective, measured in inches.
And outcomes
| cfx | # | B% | CS% | SS% | F% | X% | HR% | Sw% | Whiff% | B:CS | ISZ% | corner% | SwOOZ% | TaISZ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CH | 167 | 33.5 | 9.0 | 19.8 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 1.8 | 57.49 | 34.38 | 3.7 | 40.72 | 11.38 | 43.43 | 17.65 |
| CU | 72 | 45.8 | 25.0 | 6.9 | 11.1 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 27.78 | 25.00 | 1.8 | 38.89 | 9.72 | 15.91 | 42.86 |
| FA | 360 | 38.6 | 15.8 | 5.8 | 17.8 | 20.8 | 1.1 | 45.56 | 12.80 | 2.4 | 46.94 | 14.17 | 24.61 | 23.64 |
An unimpressive fastball, a decent change-up and a very good curveball. I suspect this guy relies on command and location with the breaking stuff, because, with that fastball, he can't afford to fall behind. The change, apparently, is the last-line of defense. I'm not properly set-up to look at pitch sequencing by count, but I think I need to get that done. That could help explore this matter. So can watching the game tonight.
1 comment:
Agree with all your points here. The analysis I like to look at shows that his changeup and fastball just are too much of the same pitch. One three things can describe it. The changeup isn't slow enough, the fastball isn't fast enough (as you described), or it doesn't have enough movement on it.
When I looked at it, too often his movement on his Change simply overlapped his movement on his fastball. While some is to be expected, his was too much in my opinion.
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