Thursday, June 12, 2008

Cubs vs. Jays - Zone Judgment

Always looking for a quick and easy way to rate players, I've revisited the notion of zone judgment for the upcoming series in Toronto. I've decided to use a very simple measure, which I'll call swing selection (swsel). Very simple. Swings at pitches in the zone, divided by swings out of the zone, and, to make it look like a normal baseball rate statistic, divide by ten. Higher is better.






























nameteam#swsel
Kosuke Fukudomechn1,1310.351
Mark DeRosachn2,0680.322
Geovany Sotochn1,1750.304
Jim Edmondschn1,3070.294
Derrek Leechn2,4780.278
Ryan Theriotchn2,0660.249
Aramis Ramirezchn2,0240.244
Mike Fontenotchn1,1200.238
Henry Blancochn2290.197
Micah Hoffpauirchn570.185
Eric Pattersonchn590.176
Reed Johnsonchn1,4410.172
Ronny Cedenochn5530.168
Marco Scutarotor1,7840.379
Joe Ingletttor2550.304
Lyle Overbaytor2,0340.296
Brad Wilkersontor1,8690.285
Matt Stairstor1,6420.263
Scott Rolentor1,1140.245
Curtis Thigpentor2900.243
Kevin Menchtor5370.200
Alex Riostor2,7110.199
Vernon Wellstor1,9880.190
John McDonaldtor9570.187
Rod Barajastor5310.186
David Ecksteintor1,4350.181



Here's a chart of the active hitters (all shown above) for the Cubs and Jays, best to worst. You can see they're virtually identical.



These numbers include all of the data available from 2007 and 2008. The zone is standardized, which will bias the data against shorter hitters. It is 1.5 ft to 3.5 ft above field level, and the plate is wide, 2 ft. instead of 17 inches. This reflects the zone hitters actually swing and take around.

Our scrappy shortstop is better than their scrappy shortstop

Theriot .249
Eckstein .181

This just has to be a major component of scrappiness. These guys take good at bats and work the count. Or, one of them does.


1 comments:

mmafight said...

good write up. nice stats!!