Roy Halladay had pretty good stuff today against the Cubs, but his defense and offense didn't support him. He also racked up a lot of pitches and gave the Cubs too many good swings. The culprit was falling behind, especially on first pitch cutters.
During Saturday's game, Halladay threw just four of his pitches, leaving the change-up in the bag. I only come up with four four-seamers, too. 
He threw pretty much the normal stuff, and did get a good amount of K's and ground-outs. He was also throwing a couple MPH harder than his overall averages.
| cfx | # | L | R | mph | pfx_x | pfx_z | deg | rpm | B:CS | corner% | Sw% | Whiff% | SwOOZ% | TaISZ% | HR% | NKS | GO:AO |
| CU | 15 | 5 | 10 | 80.0 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 112 | 847 | 0.5 | 13.33 | 60.00 | 22.22 | 75.00 | 44.44 | 0.0 | 1.500 | 0.3 |
| F2 | 23 | 3 | 20 | 96.2 | -8.5 | 6.0 | 234 | 1,387 | 1.4 | 26.09 | 47.83 | 0.00 | 16.67 | 11.76 | 4.3 | 0.889 | 5.0 |
| F4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 96.1 | -5.9 | 8.8 | 213 | 1,422 | 3.0 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.33 | 0.0 | ||
| FC | 50 | 25 | 25 | 93.5 | -1.0 | 7.6 | 187 | 1,006 | 2.4 | 20.00 | 52.00 | 23.08 | 45.71 | 20.00 | 0.0 | 0.125 | 1.5 |
| 93 | 34 | 59 | 92.1 | -1.7 | 6.3 | 188 | 1,097 | 1.7 | 20.43 | 50.54 | 17.02 | 41.38 | 22.22 | 1.1 | 0.632 | 1.7 |
Some issues, however, appear on the first pitch. Halladay normally gets first pitch strikes 53% of at bats. Against the Cubs, he only got ahead in 40%.
Look at the cutter, which Halladay threw in 15 of 25 0-0 counts, and compare it to all prior starts.
| # | cfx | S | B | X |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC | 40.0 | 40.0 | 20.0 |
| 314 | FC | 54.5 | 29.9 | 15.6 |
That just adds up to 1 or 2 extra hitters starting ahead of the count than an average start. So, his stuff and command wasn't exceptional, and wasn't horrible, either. Perhaps a bit below average, but hard to say. From what I saw today, the Cubs did do a good job of getting good contact, but it was mostly well-hit grounders.
Jason Marquis, meanwhile, had one of his best games of the year, until the 8th inning. For most of the game, he was getting ahead and getting ground balls. In his case, they weren't going through for hits.
I haven't updated Jason in his last six starts, including the win in Toronto. On WGN today, Lou Piniella attributed Marquis' success of late to a split finger pitch he just added. I've got Jason throwing the standard fare, F2 F4 CH CU SL.
Here's his spin movement chart, which includes data up to and including his May 13 start.
As I go back into his pitch data for the last six games, I (a) worked game-by-game since their are some park differences, Toronto in particular has high pfx_z; and (b) found the splitter and the cutter; and (c) went back to the other 2000 pitches and found more cutters and no splitters.
Here are your new and improved pitch id's for Jason Marquis.
| cfx | # | L | R | mph | pfx_x | pfx_z | deg | rpm | B:CS | corner% | Sw% | Whiff% | SwOOZ% | TaISZ% | HR% | NKS | GO:AO |
| CH | 207 | 148 | 59 | 83.9 | -7.8 | 5.6 | 234 | 1,179 | 5.0 | 10.63 | 53.62 | 12.61 | 41.18 | 17.20 | 0.5 | 0.475 | 1.9 |
| CU | 37 | 22 | 15 | 75.2 | 2.9 | -4.0 | 193 | 616 | 1.7 | 8.11 | 27.03 | 20.00 | 17.39 | 47.06 | 0.0 | 0.400 | 1.0 |
| F2 | 747 | 324 | 423 | 90.8 | -9.7 | 5.9 | 239 | 1,469 | 1.9 | 13.12 | 38.82 | 10.34 | 29.40 | 35.35 | 0.5 | 0.520 | 1.4 |
| F4 | 627 | 254 | 373 | 91.2 | -8.4 | 8.7 | 224 | 1,556 | 1.7 | 13.08 | 39.23 | 5.28 | 24.24 | 30.64 | 0.8 | 0.471 | 1.3 |
| FC | 11 | 5 | 6 | 89.6 | -3.1 | 7.9 | 201 | 1,083 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 36.36 | 25.00 | 28.57 | 50.00 | 0.0 | 0.000 | 0.2 |
| FS | 13 | 12 | 1 | 85.3 | -7.9 | 1.8 | 244 | 1,003 | 0.00 | 46.15 | 50.00 | 36.36 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.000 | 4.0 | |
| SL | 628 | 270 | 358 | 85.5 | -0.6 | 3.7 | 188 | 496 | 3.3 | 10.51 | 53.66 | 26.71 | 37.96 | 21.11 | 0.8 | 0.504 | 1.1 |
By start, you can see the curveball being dropped for the splitter. The cutter comes and goes, and I'm not getting all the two-seamers in some games (in one, I got none). The top chart here is all his pitches by start, then just three rare birds isolated below.
So, going back, I see some possible instances in April, but nothing clear. I'll stick with the new pitch coming on board in late May.
In terms of getting ahead of batters, Marquis had a much better day than Halladay.
| # | cfx | S | B | X |
| 1 | CH | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | F2 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 16.7 |
| 15 | F4 | 46.7 | 33.3 | 20.0 |
| 1 | FC | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | SL | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 |
| 26 | 53.8 | 30.8 | 15.4 |
And compare that to Marquis' data prior to this game (going back to '07, since we've had PFX), you can see how well he did.
| # | cfx | S | B | X |
| 41 | CH | 29.3 | 51.2 | 19.5 |
| 20 | CU | 45.0 | 40.0 | 15.0 |
| 220 | F2 | 45.5 | 43.2 | 11.4 |
| 169 | F4 | 48.5 | 39.6 | 11.8 |
| 2 | FS | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| 160 | SL | 41.9 | 42.5 | 15.6 |
| 612 | 44.1 | 42.6 | 13.2 |
Up "next", a wrap-up of the Blue Jays pitching staff reviews and previews.
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