Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Cubs All Star f/x - Zambrano, Dempster and Marmol

Clint Hurdle gave three top-shelf pitchers two innings a piece, following starter Ben Sheets with Carlos Zambrano and Dan Haren. He stuck to his plan for a while, but, well, the plan didn't last. But the game did.



Carlos Zambrano threw the 3rd and 4th innings. Zambrano was a little wild, but turned in two shut-out innings, capped by a pick-off of Milton Bradley. A lead-off single to Ichiro was quickly followed by a double-play from Derek Jeter. Both were on sinking, two-seam fastballs. The third inning ended uneventfully.

After Carlos struck-out A-Rod, finishing him off on a hard four-seamer, Hanley Ramirez created trouble in the 4th when he committed on error on a Milton Bradley grounder. Big Z picked-up his team by picking off Kevin Youkilis, who reached on Hanley's gaffe.

The first three pitches Zambrano threw to Manny Ramirez were not recorded by PITCHf/x, and Yankee Stadium, may it rest in pieces, has a PFX installation that runs a couple MPH hot and the spin movement is a few inches off to the catcher's left (negative on the pfx_x scale).


All-Star Game - PITCHf/x - Carlos Zambrano



Key
mph - Pitch Speed 50ft. from home plate (I usually adjust to 55)
pfx - Movement, in inches, caused by spin
px/pz - Plate location, in feet
All negative values indicate movement/location to the catcher's left.























#mphpfx_xpfx_zpxpzCFXHitterResult
190.1-4.937.541.252.45FCIchiroBall
293.9-10.087.59-1.301.35F4IchiroBall
388.9-14.602.070.351.82F2IchiroSingle to Right
489.9-12.241.97-0.872.98F2Jeter643 Double Play
593.3-8.379.680.872.34FCHamiltonBall
686.1-9.03-2.550.521.12SIHamiltonFoul
792.4-6.115.071.003.23FCHamilton43 Ground Out
891.9-14.393.520.271.70F2A-RodWhiff
993.3-13.314.12-0.282.82F2A-RodFoul
1085.02.473.472.162.08SLA-RodBall
1195.8-10.089.160.673.59F4A-RodWhiff Out
12





MannyBall
13





MannyFoul
14





MannyBall
1595.1-13.647.560.122.91F4MannyFoul
1696.1-13.903.540.152.12F2Manny43 Ground Out
1793.3-7.596.771.451.86FCBradleyBall
1894.6-10.109.270.202.99F4BradleyWhiff
1993.7-14.452.49-0.481.86F2BradleyE6
2081.13.752.181.472.25SLYoukilisBall
21





YoukilisPick-Off
22





YoukilisPick-Off Out

Values are un-adjusted and taken directly from Gameday's with the exception of Pitch ID's


Hurdle's plan was Edinson Volquez in the 7th, Brian Wilson and Billy Wagner in the 8th, followed by Brad Lidge. Ryan Dempster wasn't in the plan, but the game ended up tied in the 9th, and things changed. Volquez and Wagner both blew the save, so Hurdle went back to the starters, beginning with Dempster.

Ryan didn't draw the big names Zambrano faced, but Kinsler/Navarro/Drew is no picnic. Perhaps a walk in the park. Or a walk back-and-forth from the dugout. That's what it was for the AL trio, as Ryan set all three down on strikes, sending the game to extra innings.


All-Star Game - PITCHf/x - Ryan Dempster

Refer to the notes and key above























#mphpfx_xpfx_zpxpzCFXHitterResult
193.1-9.3311.390.912.56FAKinslerCalled Strike
293.6-10.9110.031.572.94FAKinslerBall
386.1-4.191.230.231.49SLKinslerWhiff
486.1-4.271.491.890.97SLKinslerBall
594.2-8.2111.421.342.46FAKinslerFoul
688.8-5.142.291.121.18SLKinslerWhiff out
794.1-11.617.69-1.573.65FANavarroBall
884.3-11.182.370.391.28FSNavarroFoul
994.0-11.976.74-1.422.95FANavarroBall
1092.7-11.968.67-0.582.71FANavarroFoul
1187.7-3.360.64-1.402.78SLNavarroBall
1295.3-11.726.45-0.563.19FANavarroFoul Tip Strike out
1386.8-4.22-1.38-0.491.43SLDrewCalled Strike
1485.9-8.850.59-0.733.46FSDrewBall
1585.6-10.584.21-0.500.78FSDrewBall
1694.6-11.857.09-1.093.29FADrewBall
1784.6-9.334.10-0.342.98FSDrewCalled Strike
1893.9-10.469.17-0.601.73FADrewCalled Strike out

No matter what happens the rest of this season, or his career, Ryan Dempster can always say he struck-out the side in the bottom of the 9th of a tied All Star Game, in Yankee Stadium, the year the park closed. Being in that game, in that situation is odd enough. The chances of striking out those three guys in order is about 1 in 300, roughly speaking and based on career strike-out rates.


All-Star Game - PITCHf/x - Carlos Marmol

When the game continued on into the 13th inning, Carlos Marmol got the call. The top player remaining on the players' ballot after Kerry Wood's blister forced him out of the line-up was Marmol, but he wasn't expected to appear.

What didn't appear was Dan Uggla's mitt. After making back-to-back errors earlier in the game, he booted a one-out grounder off the bat of J.D. Drew. In all fairness, the ball hit a heal divot and took a horrible bounce up and into Uggla's chest. It had practically been rolling prior to that.

Marmol was his wild self with the fastball, controlled self with the slider. He struck-out Michael Young looking at a 3-2 slider, while Drew stole second. Carlos ended the 13th with a strike-out of Carlos Quentin, a foul-tip of another slider.

























#mphpfx_xpfx_zpxpzCFXHitterResult
194.6-10.1549.408-0.5921.817FANavarroCalled Strike
281.70.917-4.92-0.4441.614SLNavarro43 Ground out
383.21.407-4.560.0651.914SLDrewWhiff
481.92.854-5.902-0.8451.544SLDrewBall
581.72.675-4.334-2.0222.993SLDrewBall
694.9-9.51411.3150.6442.026FADrewBall
780.92.168-2.998-0.0732.341SLDrewCallled Strike
880.82.941-4.905-0.3012.023SLDrewE4
995.2-11.62810.0880.6341.576FAYoungBall
1094.3-10.8419.180.092.713FAYoungFoul
1180.93.05-4.274-0.3232.579SLYoungCallled Strike
1281.62.929-3.771-1.2962.497SLYoungBall
1394.4-10.4219.5940.0020.934FAYoungBall
1480.83.323-5.0750.3522.972SLYoungCalled Strike out
1593.8-11.6059.0940.8662.311FAQuentinFoul
1695.6-11.7528.8851.9612.906FAQuentinBall
1781.12.187-4.281-0.5642.279SLQuentinCalled Strike
1884.1-0.709-4.1910.0481.827SLQuentinFoul
1982.03.771-5.6020.6233.079SLQuentinFoul Tip Strike out

Marmol was a nice finish to a fine Chicago showing, as all three of our pitchers represented the Cubs nicely.


The game went on into the 15th inning, and Terry Francona had to bring in Scott Kazmir, who, like Dempster, worked on a single day's rest. Brandon Webb replaced Marmol for the 14th, and Brad Lidge was the NL's last man out, as he took the ball for the bottom half of the 15th. Brian McCann also came in, making him the last man of the bench for either team.

It seemed the game would end after the 15th, no matter what. Would we see another Bud Selig shrug? Or a walk-off? Fortunately, the latter. A walk-off Sacrifice Fly. Michael Young drove-in Home Run Derby champ Justin Morneau to end it properly.


6 comments:

Angry Mike said...

I believe Zambrano picked off Milton Bradley.

Harry Pavlidis said...

Nice catch, just fixed it.
Thanks

Anonymous said...

Not to nitpick, but Michael Young was the one who hit the sac fly for the walk-off rbi...not JD Drew.

Harry Pavlidis said...

thanks, i need a proof-reader when I post at 1am. Dang extra inning games. I wrote this thing three times, last draft, hmm, needed some fact checks :-)

Maddog said...

Harry, was Zambrano's release point lower than it had been? Will Carroll said he was throwing from a much lower angle and hinted that he may still be hurt.

Harry Pavlidis said...

I'll have to see once we get some same-park games. Can't use one appearance Yankee Stadium to check on that. Is Will saying this has been the case since he got off the DL?