Sunday, August 24, 2008

Rich Harden - Two Pitch Pitcher

Last time Rich Harden threw a slider was in 2007. Or, at least in a PITCHf/x game. It is pretty well known, in 2008, that he's left sliders and splitters behind, and throws a fastball and a change-up. The change-up is extra tough, since he can throw it a few ways with a single grip (circle). With no distinguishable difference from his fastball's arm speed, and his ability to dial the fastball up-and-down the speedometer, he can be nearly impossible to hit. He's around the plate, so it does happen (more than his share of home runs), but not often.

The following numbers are for all of Rich Harden's games that are available with PITCHf/x data. They do not include his August 24 start. Tables are sortable, images can be clicked to enlarge.












cfxLRmphpfx_xpfx_zdegrpmB:CScorner%Sw%Whiff%SwOZ%TaIZ%HR%NKSG:AO
CH32236285.7-1.04.61916083.010.0957.7546.8443.5017.850.70.5711.5
FA58361792.9-3.611.41971,5832.311.0846.9219.8930.0924.190.40.4430.3
SL3585.03.90.8125511
0.0037.5033.3316.670.000.00.500

90898490.3-2.68.91951,2262.510.6850.7931.0134.9221.900.50.4860.5

The whiff rates are sky high for both of his pitches - there are not enough sliders to comment on here. The B:CS ratio is a above league (2.2 last I checked). The change-up isn't bad considering the movement and intent, but the fastball is on the high side.

The most important image in the next series is probably the last, or the last two.













The flight paths paint a scary picture for hitters.

Here are Harden's Out of Zone/In Strike Zone numbers.









#iTiSwiWhoToSwoW
1892288668157641293141











izRiSwRoSwRSwRiWhRoWhRWhR
0.5060.6990.3140.5080.2350.4810.310



Breaking that down by month, starting with May 2008.













MayyizRiSwRoSwRSwRiWhRoWhRWhR
May20080.5370.6950.2660.4960.2300.5510.310
Jun20080.4740.7130.3450.5190.2150.5380.328
Jul20080.4870.6800.3410.5060.2410.4650.318
Aug20080.5130.7060.3160.5160.1980.3720.250



Now by pitch











cfx#iTiSwiWhoToSwoW
CH6848424785204148100
FA12002034197243314440













cfx#izRiSwRoSwRSwRiWhRoWhRWhR
CH6840.4850.7460.4200.5780.3440.6760.468
FA12000.5190.6740.2500.4700.1720.2780.199



And, starting in May, by pitch by month












monthyearcfxizRiSwRoSwRSwRiWhRoWhRWhR
May2008CH0.5140.7160.3290.5280.3770.8260.513
Jun2008CH0.4470.7630.4890.6120.3100.7390.500
Jul2008CH0.4700.7570.4570.5980.3590.6420.473
Aug2008CH0.4550.7750.3540.5450.2580.5290.354















monthyearcfxizRiSwRoSwRSwRiWhRoWhRWhR
May2008FA0.5490.6830.2280.4780.1470.3080.182
Jun2008FA0.4910.6840.2460.4610.1540.2650.184
Jul2008FA0.4970.6340.2640.4480.1560.2610.187
Aug2008FA0.5390.6800.2950.5030.1710.2690.198



That's a lot of numbers. He looks consistent with the fastball, especially when you consider the small-ish sample size for August. The change-up seems to be getting less misses out of the zone, but, you're dealing with small numbers at that point, as seen in this next table.












monthyearcfxoSwoW
May2008CH2319
Jun2008CH4634
Jul2008CH5334
Aug2008CH179



The Cubs acquired Harden in early July, so, if you squint and think of the May/June as AL and July/August as NL, you could make the claim that NL hitters chase change-ups less than AL hitters. Not saying that I'm making that claim, but you can.



Just One More Thing

To clarify those now retired sliders, here's a comparison of the change-ups and sliders from 7/7/2007 - the only game where the slider appears.











1 comments:

vivaelpujols said...

I just wanted to say this was an awesome post Harry.