Scott Kazmir - Game 1 Starter PITCHf/x

Scott Kazmir gets the nod for Game 1 against the Phillies, Wednesday night in St. Pete. Start time is about 45 minutes after whatever they say it is.

I've looked at Kazmir before, but now I have ID'd all his pitches, and dropped the distinction between fastballs. I believe he only throws a four seamer, which he may cut on occasion. His out pitch is his change/splitter, and he's got a pretty good slider, too. The IDs below are more accurate than my earlier edition, I've got maybe two question marks in the whole bunch. I tossed three pitches that were either obviously thrown by someone else, or just seriously out of whack. Leaves 3999 pitches.

What he throws

cfx	#	mph	pfx_x	pfx_z	deg	rpm
CH	534	80.0	8.3	4.6	120.1	1,102.4
FA	2929	92.8	6.5	10.4	148.4	1,626.0
SL	536	83.3	0.0	3.9	181.9	509.2
	3999	89.8	5.8	8.8	149.1	1,406.4

Spin Movement



Flight Paths



When he throws it

By count

#	B	S	LHH	CH LHH	FA LHH	SL LHH	RHH	CH RHH	FA RHH	SL RHH
960	0	0	218	0.0092	0.7523	0.2385	742	0.1792	0.7938	0.0270
474	0	1	98	0.0000	0.6633	0.3367	376	0.1782	0.7128	0.1090
271	0	2	52	0.0000	0.7885	0.2115	219	0.0639	0.7078	0.2283
399	1	0	90	0.0000	0.6778	0.3222	309	0.2945	0.6926	0.0129
399	1	1	89	0.0000	0.6742	0.3258	310	0.2323	0.6774	0.0903
410	1	2	78	0.0000	0.5641	0.4359	332	0.0964	0.6145	0.2892
151	2	0	25	0.0000	0.9200	0.0800	126	0.1587	0.8254	0.0159
206	2	1	41	0.0000	0.9268	0.0732	165	0.2000	0.7879	0.0121
332	2	2	46	0.0000	0.6304	0.3696	286	0.1469	0.6538	0.1993
59	3	0	10	0.0000	1.0000	0.0000	49	0.0408	0.9592	0.0000
107	3	1	20	0.0000	0.8000	0.2000	87	0.0690	0.9195	0.0115
231	3	2	27	0.0000	0.7037	0.2963	204	0.0980	0.8382	0.0637

By Game



Results

cfx	#	LHH	RHH	Swing	Whiff	B:CS	ISZ	Paint	Chase	Watch
CH	534	2	532	0.4176	0.3453	3.1	0.3801	0.0880	0.2749	0.3498
FA	2929	570	2359	0.4940	0.2267	2.1	0.4708	0.1181	0.3135	0.3031
SL	536	222	314	0.4795	0.3074	5.2	0.3153	0.0970	0.3379	0.2130
	3999	794	3205	0.4819	0.2512	2.5	0.4379	0.1113	0.3118	0.2998

Lefties see tons of sliders, and no change-ups (splitters, I think). He actually works the zone quite a bit with the change, and gets not only his best whiff rate, but his best watch rate (takes in the zone). The fastball hammers the zone, and has an impressive whiff rate for a heater. To lefties, he'll throws the slider in any count that's even or ahead. To a righty, he's more likely to throw a change than a slider when he falls behind, but, if you've got two strikes, and the count isn't full, Kazmir will throw you a slider 1 out of 4 times.

Kazmir faces Cole Hamels, who I've covered a lot already (click his name for more).