Thursday, November 6, 2008

Vague Aaron Heilman Rumor f/x

It's a brief mention, but enough to do PITCHf/x on Aaron Heilman. According to Adam Rubin (h/t MLBTradeRumors.com)

The Mets figure to accommodate Aaron Heilman's desire to pitch elsewhere - potentially as a starter - with the Rockies, Cardinals, Cubs and Diamondbacks among the potential destinations.


Heilman throws hard, and side arm. He added a slider late in 2007, which varies a lot and looks more like a slutter. It's a very effective pitch, since he throws it for strikes. It's become an exclusive treat for righties, cutting into his change-up usage.

Heilman hasn't started a game in a few years, and his walk rate, and ERA, exploded in 2008. If he can be had cheap, he could be a good gamble for the bullpen.

Heilman was paid $1.2 million last year, and is arbitration eligible. His slide in performance won't get him a big raise, and he'll probably sign without going through the arbitration process.

Stuff











cfx#mphpfx_xpfx_zdegrpm
CH44284.3-10.34.1247.51,332.8
FA113494.3-10.54.9244.41,559.8
SL20984.81.00.5212.2503.3
178590.7-9.14.2241.41,379.9










Effectiveness











cfx#LHHRHHSwingWhiffB:CSISZPaintChaseWatch
CH4422471950.54070.38084.80.34390.09950.41380.2171
FA11344986360.45680.15832.10.43650.09960.31140.3556
SL209271820.38760.48152.10.40670.12920.30650.4941
178577210130.46950.25302.40.41010.10310.33900.3429


Here's when Heilman throws each pitch, broken out by month, year and by batter hand.





























#monthyearCHFASL
39420070.48720.48720.0256
5520070.00001.00000.0000
14620070.71430.28570.0000
94720070.29790.70210.0000
53820070.33960.62260.0377
181920070.29830.70170.0000
2320080.00001.00000.0000
253420080.28460.60080.1146
246520080.27640.61380.1098
230620080.26520.58260.1522
300720080.17670.63000.1933
275820080.14910.68360.1673
93920080.19350.68820.1183








#yearCHFASL
38620070.33420.65800.0078
139920080.22370.62900.1472












#yearbatsCHFASL
1772007L0.35030.63280.0169
5952008L0.31090.64870.0403
2092007R0.32060.67940.0000
8042008R0.15920.61440.2264


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