Monday, April 27, 2009

Cubs Pitchers vs. Arizona Hitters

The Cubs finish their second road trip of 2009 with three games in Arizona. Several Cubs pitchers have faced Diamondbacks hitters. Here's a look at the six who have seen the most action. It includes all three scheduled starters and three key relievers (including one who may be healthy enough to pitch before the flight back to Chicago).

Pitch Mix

Click images to enlarge. Each of these charts includes a marker (a dark line) above the left-handed hitters. There are no hitters below Lilly's line, as he's only faced righties (and switch-hitters). Only active players included (so no Stephen Drew).













Here's the data behind the graphs - please take note of the minuscule sample sizes. Click headers to sort.

Carlos Zambrano












firstlastbats#pitchesSinkerFastballSplitterChangeSliderCutterCurve
TonyClarkL1421%21%21%7%29%
FelipeLopezL4127%5%27%0%41%
AugieOjedaL650%17%0%0%33%
EricByrnesR813%50%0%25%13%
MarkReynoldsR70%14%0%57%29%
ChrisSnyderR714%43%0%43%0%
ChrisYoungR128%25%0%50%17%



Carlos Marmol














firstlastbats#pitchesSinkerFastballSplitterChangeSliderCutterCurve
FelipeLopezL2850%50%
AugieOjedaL1867%33%
ChadTracyL825%75%
MiguelMonteroL863%38%
EricByrnesR2157%43%
ChrisSnyderR1850%50%
ConorJacksonR2450%50%
MarkReynoldsR2635%65%
ChrisYoungR1953%47%
JustinUptonR1145%55%



Ted Lilly













firstlastbats#pitchesSinkerFastballSplitterChangeSliderCutterCurve
TonyClarkR1464%0%29%7%
FelipeLopezR4858%6%27%8%
EricByrnesR3429%15%26%29%
AugieOjedaR2268%0%27%5%
ChrisSnyderR4749%13%21%17%
ConorJacksonR4149%24%20%7%
MarkReynoldsR3148%6%19%26%
ChrisYoungR4835%19%15%31%
JustinUptonR2540%28%12%20%



Aaron Heilman












firstlastbats#pitchesSinkerFastballSplitterChangeSliderCutterCurve
FelipeLopezL333%67%0%
AugieOjedaL475%25%0%
ChadTracyL450%50%0%
MiguelMonteroL1155%45%0%
ChrisSnyderR743%43%14%
ConorJacksonR944%33%22%
MarkReynoldsR1060%30%10%
JustinUptonR1354%31%15%



Kevin Gregg













firstlastbats#pitchesSinkerFastballSplitterChangeSliderCutterCurve
TonyClarkL956%0%44%
FelipeLopezL888%13%0%
AugieOjedaL250%50%0%
MiguelMonteroL683%17%0%
EricByrnesR667%0%33%
ChrisSnyderR786%0%14%
ConorJacksonR1030%50%20%
MarkReynoldsR1369%8%23%
ChrisYoungR1369%23%8%
JustinUptonR540%20%40%



Ryan Dempster













firstlastbats#pitchesSinkerFastballSplitterChangeSliderCutterCurve
TonyClarkL825%13%50%13%0%
FelipeLopezL3959%21%13%0%8%
AugieOjedaL1030%40%30%0%0%
EricByrnesR617%17%33%0%33%
ChrisSnyderR1625%13%6%0%56%
ConorJacksonR1644%13%6%6%31%
MarkReynoldsR1369%0%8%0%23%
ChrisYoungR1421%7%0%0%71%
JustinUptonR2227%5%0%0%64%



Outcomes etc.









Starter#pitchesSwingWhiffChaseWatchnkSLGTBP
Ted Lilly3100.3740.2670.1630.4360.8950.110
Carlos Zambrano950.4210.2250.2220.4000.4380.074
Ryan Dempster1440.4100.3220.2690.4240.2610.042











Reliever#pitchesSwingWhiffChaseWatchnkSLGTBP
Kevin Gregg790.4180.3030.2960.4290.1000.013
Aaron Heilman610.4100.4000.2000.4440.5710.066
Carlos Marmol1810.3870.2860.2180.4570.7730.094










Pitchers#pitchesSwingWhiffChaseWatchnkSLGTBP
Starters5490.3920.2740.2010.4270.6500.086
Relievers3210.3990.3120.2340.4480.5690.069
All8700.3940.2880.2130.4340.6200.080



All told, the Arizona hitters appear to be patient, still whiffing a lot, but doing about average overall against these pitchers.

Swing=swings/pitches (average ~.46)
Whiff=misses/swings (average ~.19)
Chase=swing rate on pitches out of zone (average ~.27)
Watch=take rate on pitches in the zone (average ~.37)
nkSLG = total bases divided by balls in play (includes home runs) (average ~.51)
TBP = total bases per pitch (average ~.10)


3 comments:

Jeff said...

HP, just a suggestion. Can you use a different color for sliders in your breakdown? I have mild color blindness and have a hard time distinguishing that color from the white you use for fastballs?

Harry Pavlidis said...

Jeff - thanks for the note. I can change sliders to black - would this color scheme be accessible? The only change is to the slider. Colors all are from Excel's "palette".

Fastballs: pale yellow
Curves: coral
Sliders: black
Splitters: red
Cutters: green
Sinkers: dark red
Changes: blue

Jeff said...

Black is fine. I only really have problems with very light or very dark shades of red or blue. All the other colors look okay to me. Thanks, Harry