Sunday, May 3, 2009

Ricky Nolasco PITCHf/x

Ricky Nolasco was a Cub, almost. Drafted in 2001, the big kid from California was traded from Chicago to Florida along with Sergio Mitre and Reynel Pinto for Juan Pierre. Sorry to remind you of that. Unless you're a Marlins fan, then "you're welcome".

Nolasco has interesting stuff. He throws three breaking pitches, a fastball (F4), the occasional sinker (F2) and a change-up (CH). I really think he has two curveballs and a slider, but, for labeling purposes I'm going with cutter (FC), slider (SL) and curve (CU).
















cfxLHHRHH#mphpfx_xpfx_zdeg
CH1691718683.0-5.92.8242.6
CU4478553274.07.5-8.342.7
F21871720490.0-8.95.6237.6
F4700926162692.0-4.09.5202.5
FC31124455584.61.22.4151.7
SL7837645477.75.1-4.161.1



It's kitchen sink minus the slider against lefties, fastball/cutter/slider against righties. A few other observations before the charts:

  • May work a little more from the first base side of the rubber when facing righties
  • Gets ahead and throws strikes, particularly to righties
  • Hit "average" hard despite not being behind - you'd hope to take better advantage
  • High whiff rates - against righties, all six pitches > 20% and 27% overall.
    • Not as nifty against lefties, they can hit his fastball more often (but not any harder) but still end up whiffing 24% overall.
  • Ends up being very average overall, which isn't a bad thing considering he's a starter who should give them another 200 IP—assuming he stays healthy
Starting with spin movement (in inches, catcher's view) to show the basic spread of the pitches, in aggregate:



Flight paths - all six, then split into fastballs/change-up and breaking







Slices and layers based on plate location show just how many strikes Nolasco throws (a lot):



And, finally, his pitch mix by situation (count):




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